HAUSCOPE
HAUSCOPE

The Hauscope Index · September 2026 edition

The Asking Gap

Every month we measure the distance between what sellers ask and what the evidence supports, across every postcode area with enough data to be worth publishing. We call that distance the Asking Gap.

The spread

Where you are buying matters far more than the market as a whole.

+10.7%

Hereford

a median £30,000 above the evidence

−3.8%

Swindon

a median £6,000 below the evidence

The Asking Gap by postcode areaMedian asking price vs Hauscope’s estimate · last 90 days
Asking above the evidenceAsking below the evidence
ALSt Albans
+3.8%
WWest London
+1.1%
TNTunbridge Wells
+4.9%
DADartford
+4.0%
NNorth London
0.0%
BSBristol
+0.2%
SWSouth West London
0.0%
BBirmingham
−0.3%
CRCroydon
−1.6%
SNSwindon
−3.8%

Nationally, most sellers price it about right

+0.8%— a median £3,000 — across 12,004 properties

That number is small, and we are not going to dress it up. Half of all the homes buyers checked sit within about 0.8% of what the evidence supports. There is no nationwide overpricing epidemic in this data.

The story is the spread. A buyer in Hereford faces a typical asking price +10.7% above the evidence; a buyer in Swindon faces one 3.8% below it. Same month, same method, same country — a gap of 14.5 percentage points between them.

Every area, ranked

All 96 postcode areas with at least 30 properties checked in the last 90 days. “Spread” is the interquartile range in percentage points — how much areas vary internally.

AreaGapMedian £SpreadHomes
HR Hereford+10.7%£30,00016.530
TF Telford+7.3%£17,50017.430
BA Bath+6.3%£35,00022.3121
TA Taunton+5.9%£21,00022.8284
YO York+5.4%£14,00017.8104
WD Watford+5.3%£14,00019.635
OL Oldham+5.0%£13,00019.831
TN Tunbridge Wells+4.9%£21,00025.8118
HG Harrogate+4.9%£16,50020.344
LA Lancaster+4.8%£13,00020.830
TQ Torquay+4.5%£12,00022.860
WN Wigan+4.3%£8,00019.455
MK Milton Keynes+4.2%£20,00017.2135
EN Enfield+4.1%£25,00014.884
DA Dartford+4.0%£21,50015.4290
RH Redhill+3.9%£18,00018.8138
AL St Albans+3.8%£35,00019.2109
SG Stevenage+3.6%£14,00016.5103
SY Shrewsbury+3.6%£10,00023.883
TR Truro+3.3%£11,50017.368
LN Lincoln+3.3%£11,50021.562
WV Wolverhampton+3.3%£11,50012.530
BD Bradford+3.2%£10,50015.944
BH Bournemouth+3.0%£10,50015.8140
EX Exeter+2.8%£10,00021.2187
GL Gloucester+2.8%£8,00020.096
ST Stoke-on-Trent+2.6%£4,00013.561
DT Dorchester+2.6%£15,00015.841
GU Guildford+2.5%£15,00018.9176
BN Brighton+2.3%£12,00016.5256
DL Darlington+2.0%£5,00014.4125
UB Uxbridge+2.0%£12,00013.838
HD Huddersfield+2.0%£8,00010.837
CT Canterbury+1.9%£5,00017.253
BL Bolton+1.9%£6,00018.035
TW Twickenham+1.8%£10,00013.9193
HA Harrow+1.7%£15,00013.271
CH Chester+1.6%£4,00014.9125
SS Southend-on-Sea+1.6%£5,50012.968
LL Llandudno+1.3%£3,00018.2122
CW Crewe+1.3%£4,00023.760
W West London+1.1%£6,50020.5228
PL Plymouth+1.1%£3,50027.892
PE Peterborough+1.0%£3,00014.7163
LE Leicester+0.9%£4,00018.0165
SK Stockport+0.8%£2,00015.9228
RG Reading+0.8%£5,00015.5157
NN Northampton+0.8%£2,00011.994
SE South East London+0.7%£4,00013.8255
NW North West London+0.7%£2,50014.8106
CB Cambridge+0.6%£2,00012.8131
SA Swansea+0.6%£1,00025.057
WA Warrington+0.5%£1,00022.8117
HU Hull+0.5%£1,00010.239
NE Newcastle upon Tyne+0.4%£1,00019.1181
NR Norwich+0.4%£1,00013.7168
DY Dudley+0.4%£1,00024.151
PR Preston+0.3%£50018.8130
DN Doncaster+0.3%£50015.2104
OX Oxford+0.3%£1,00016.0100
BS Bristol+0.2%£1,00012.5397
SW South West London0.0%£017.5355
SO Southampton0.0%£010.9300
N North London0.0%£014.0279
NG Nottingham0.0%£016.5278
KT Kingston upon Thames0.0%£013.8238
LS Leeds0.0%£012.8145
TS Cleveland0.0%£015.485
HP Hemel Hempstead0.0%£015.582
WF Wakefield−0.2%−£50012.982
B Birmingham−0.3%−£1,00011.5273
DE Derby−0.3%−£1,00013.1173
PO Portsmouth−0.4%−£1,50014.4122
SM Sutton−0.4%−£2,50010.9102
SL Slough−0.4%−£2,00016.752
WR Worcester−0.6%−£2,00011.583
NP Newport−0.7%−£3,00016.563
WS Walsall−0.7%−£2,00015.848
M Manchester−0.8%−£2,00012.9204
CF Cardiff−0.9%−£2,00012.3203
BR Bromley−1.0%−£5,50015.0150
CV Coventry−1.1%−£3,00012.9152
CM Chelmsford−1.2%−£4,00014.4137
CO Colchester−1.2%−£3,00016.991
L Liverpool−1.4%−£3,50011.0142
RM Romford−1.4%−£5,50013.166
IG Ilford−1.4%−£5,00015.431
CR Croydon−1.6%−£9,0009.8173
S Sheffield−1.6%−£3,50015.6122
ME Medway−1.7%−£5,50011.5104
CA Carlisle−1.7%−£2,00015.532
E East London−2.0%−£9,00011.3252
SP Salisbury−2.0%−£6,00022.933
IP Ipswich−2.1%−£5,00014.0111
LU Luton−2.8%−£11,00015.430
SN Swindon−3.8%−£6,00010.6155

What this measures — and what it doesn’t

These are homes real buyers chose to check on Hauscope, not a random sample of the market. Buyers plausibly lean towards listings they already suspected were priced high, which would over-represent those homes and push the measured gap up. The true whole-market gap is likely smaller than the Index shows.

Fair value here is an evidence-based estimate built from comparable sold prices, local sold-price history and floor-area data. It is not a RICS surveyor valuation, and it is not a prediction of what a home will sell for.

The Index does not track what homes eventually sold for. A gap to asking price is not proof a home is overpriced — only that its asking price sits above the evidence we can see. England & Wales only: we hold no Scottish or Northern Irish sold-price data, so we publish nothing for those markets.

Read the full methodology, limitations and how we make money →